01/20
Origins

Uptick Systems

Proven product
playbooks

The reference deck behind the z21 proposal to Mila Ventures. Five bodies of practice, already tested at scale, packaged so your team and your agents can run them from day one.

Working BackwardsJobs to be DoneShape UpProduct discoveryThe idea maze

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Where this comes from

Standing on the shoulders of giants

Inspired CAGAN 2008 The Idea Maze DIXON 2013 Badass SIERRA 2015 Competing Against Luck CHRISTENSEN 2016 Wardley Maps WARDLEY 2016 Shape Up SINGER 2019 Working Backwards BRYAR & CARR 2021 Continuous Discovery TORRES 2021 YOU START HERE

Swipe the shelf to see all eight

Twenty-five years of other people's expensive lessons. Filled spines are what we install. Outlined ones wait on the shelf until the work calls for them.

The failure mode they all attack

Backlogs grow, estimates lie,
projects run long

A backlog is a pile of obligations nobody chose. An estimate is a guess wearing the costume of a commitment. Between them, a team stays busy for months with nothing shipped, and whoever spoke loudest last sets the roadmap.

Time is fixed. Scope is the variable.Shape Up

The map

Five moves, on repeat

  1. 1 · Work backwardWrite the launch page first, then argue back to what must be true.Working Backwards, Jobs to be Done, product discovery, the idea maze.
  2. 2 · ShapeTurn a raw idea into a one-page pitch that fits a fixed appetite.Shape Up: shaping.
  3. 3 · BetPick one or two shaped pitches for the cycle. The rest stay on the shelf.Shape Up: the betting table.
  4. 4 · BuildOne working slice of the riskiest part first. Read status on a hill, cut scope on a schedule.Shape Up: building, hill charts, the scope hammer.
  5. 5 · Cool downShip, let the feedback settle, sweep small debt, start the next cycle clean.Shape Up: cool-down.

Amazon supplies the first move, Basecamp the other four. Every idea enters at the front and earns its way forward. From here on the map stays at the top of the screen and the move you are in lights up. Depth is yours: Short gives one slide per move, Full adds the detail behind each.

Move 1 · Work backward · Working Backwards

Start at the customer
and argue backward

Amazon writes the launch announcement first. If it reads as boring, so does the product, and that cost you one page.

The artifact

The PR-FAQ

A press release, plus the questions a customer and a skeptic would ask.

The meeting

Narratives, not slides

Six pages of prose, read in silence. Bullets hide weak thinking.

The org

One owner

One leader carries the product, with nothing else competing.

The measure

Input metrics

Track what the team controls this week, not the revenue months later.

Move 1 · Work backward · Jobs to be Done

What is the customer firing?

The PR-FAQ grew up around launches that were new to the world, so it quietly rewards an announcement that sounds momentous. Most good products are not moonshots. Jobs to be Done keeps the page honest: start from a switch that already happens in your market.

ForceWhat it is
PushThe frustration with how they do this today
PullThe appeal of the new way
HabitThe comfort of what they already have
AnxietyWhat worries them about switching

A switch happens when push and pull beat habit and anxiety. Write the PR-FAQ against that, and the press release stops being a wish.

Move 1 · Work backward · Product discovery

Kill four risks before the build

RiskThe question
ValueWill anyone choose this over what they do today?
UsabilityCan they work out how to use it without help?
FeasibilityCan we build it with the time, data, and skills on hand?
ViabilityDoes it work for the rest of the business, including sales and support?

Cagan's point is about timing. These questions cost a conversation before the build and cost a quarter after launch.

Move 1 · Work backward · The idea maze

Know which turns close doors

Dixon's picture of a good founder is somebody who has already walked the maze in their head. They know which paths others took, where those ended, and which early choice quietly rules out three later ones.

For an AI product, the early turns are the load-bearing ones. Which customer you serve first, where the data lives, how deep you sit inside their systems. Each of those forecloses options you may want in a year, so they get argued explicitly, on the record, before a line of code depends on them.

Move 2 · Shape · Shape Up

Shape the work before betting on it

Turn a raw idea into a pitch somebody can answer yes or no to.

01

Appetite first

Ask how much time this is worth, then design to fit. Never how long it takes.

02

Rough and solved

No mockups, no specs. The mechanism works end to end on paper; the edges stay open.

03

Bounded

The pitch names what it will not do, so scope creep has nowhere to hide.

Output: one page with the problem, the solution, the rabbit holes, and the no-gos.

Move 3 · Bet · Shape Up

Bets, not backlogs

Each cycle, a few shaped pitches compete for one or two slots. The cap is on the cycle, not on your ideas. Keep the shelf as big as you like. A pitch that loses the table goes back on the shelf, uncommitted, and returns when somebody shapes it again. What dies is the obligation, not the idea.

Move 4 · Build · Shape Up

One working slice
before anything widens

The team owns a project rather than a task list, and the first job is to make one thin path work end to end.

Move 4 · Build · Hill charts

Status as a position on a hill

Climbing means unknowns remain. Over the top means everything left is execution.

Ingest connectors Query surface UPHILL · UNKNOWNS DOWNHILL · EXECUTION

A marker that has not moved in two check-ins is the loudest signal on the chart. It means the scope hides an unsolved problem.

Move 4 · Build · The scope hammer

Cut on a schedule, with
the deadline as the anvil

Scope grows because real work reveals real detail. So it gets hammered at the halfway mark and again near the end, before anyone has to ask.

Ask whether this beats what people have today.

Survivors are must-haves. Everything else is marked optional and dies quietly at the deadline. A cut version that ships whole beats a complete version that ships late.

Move 5 · Cool down · Shape Up

A gap after every ship

A deliberate stretch where nobody is on the hook. It is what keeps a team steering instead of permanently sprinting.

What you actually get

The playbooks, as skills your agents run

Each practice ships as a skill for Claude and Codex. The agent knows when to invoke it, so the process runs itself instead of living in a wiki nobody opens.

SkillFires whenFile in the repo
Working backwardA new product needs a PR-FAQ before anyone buildsships with the engagement
Job interviewThe PR-FAQ needs a real switch behind itships with the engagement
ShapingSomebody brings a raw ideamila-z21-hypothesis
Betting tableYou ask what to build nextmila-z21-portfolio
BuildingA bet is committed and the cycle startsmila-z21-experiment
Hill chartYou ask how it is goingmila-z21-signal
Scope hammerHalfway through, near the end, or when scope balloonsmila-z21-scope
Cool-downSomething ships and feedback arrivesmila-z21-debrief

Install today: clone the repo and copy the skill folders into your agent's skills directory. Then ask the agent what to work on next.

git clone https://github.com/Uptick-Systems/z21
cp -r z21/skills/mila-z21-* ~/.claude/skills/

Show one, not describe one

A real pitch, a real betting record

One research direction from Lacuna went through shape and bet. Here is what came out, straight from the repo.

Shape · pitches/foresight-world-model.md

Foresight: cheap lookahead for live web agents

Appetite: small batch, one focused session. Problem: a web agent clicks the plausible next control and lands in a dead end, because it never simulated where the click leads. No-gos: no test-time training, no deep tree search.

Read the pitch
Bet · cycles/1-foresight-world-model.md

Cycle 1: bet, with a gate

Five questions answered on the record. Four pass, one flagged: no Mila author gravity in the direction. The session opens with a 20 minute go/no-go probe. If no drivable benchmark exists, the breaker fires before the cycle is spent.

Read the record
Install · github.com/Uptick-Systems/z21

The skills, as files

Eight markdown files with YAML front matter. Drop them in your skills folder, bring a shelf of ideas, and run one through the loop.

Get the repo

The demo · 25 minutes

One hypothesis, the whole loop, live

02 min

Input

A row from the gap analysis, or a Lacuna direction dense with Mila authors.

07 min

Shape

The agent interrogates: appetite, breadboard, rabbit holes, no-gos. Out comes a framed hypothesis.

03 min

Bet

Five funding questions. The agent takes a position and writes the kick-off.

10 min

Build

One vertical slice of the riskiest mechanism, end to end.

03 min

Close

Hill status, one staged scope refusal, the dossier on screen.

In practice

Where this plugs in

A product with a long arc and real unknowns is exactly the shape this rhythm handles well. Here is how the first months usually run.

Weeks 1 to 2

Direction

The PR-FAQ decides which customer you serve first and what ships on day one. The idea maze names the turns that close doors.

From week 3

Cycles

Shaped pitches and capped bets, riskiest mechanism first, the four risks answered before each build.

Every cycle after

Proof

When the product is agentic, your team running the process is the first proof it works.

Next step

Pick a start week

I need whatever product material you already have and two working sessions in week one. I set up everything else.

Vaughn DiMarcoUptick SystemsMontreal[email protected]

Addendum · Also on the shelf

Worth reaching for, case by case

These do not run every cycle. Each one earns its place when a particular problem shows up, and I bring it then rather than installing it up front.

Teresa Torres

Continuous discovery

A weekly interview habit and the opportunity solution tree. For when you need to tell a pattern from one loud account.

Kathy Sierra

Badass

Judge the product by what the user becomes good at. For when the pitch drifts toward what the software does.

Simon Wardley

Wardley mapping

Plot each component by how commoditized it is: what to build, what to rent. The sharpest idea-maze tool, and it takes practice.

Addendum · Considered and set aside

What I am not bringing, and why

MethodReason
Lean StartupA decade of loose use has worn the MVP idea smooth. Shape Up's appetite does the same job with a harder edge.
Double DiamondA design agency frame. It describes the shape of work without saying who decides or when to stop.
SAFe and its kinBuilt for coordinating dozens of teams. A small team has the opposite problem.
OKRsFine for direction, weak on how work gets picked. If you already run them, the cycles slot underneath without a fight.

Naming these matters, because a process nobody argued about is a process nobody owns.

Read the originals

Sources

Uptick·Systems